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The S&P 500 Futures Market Pauses After Another Record-Breaking Session

March 4, 2024
minute read

Monday saw a slight dip in U.S. stocks, interrupting a rally that had seen the S&P 500 achieve its 16th winning week out of the last 18. Investors are currently on standby for a significant week that includes congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and the release of crucial jobs data.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) experienced a decline of 121 points, equivalent to 0.3%, settling at 38,966. The S&P 500 (SPX) was down by 5 points or 0.1%, closing at 5,132. The Nasdaq Composite (COMP) faced a loss of 35 points, or 0.2%, trading at 16,240. Last week, the S&P 500 recorded a 1% increase and has accumulated a 7.7% gain in the current year, achieving its 15th record finish of 2024 on Friday. Similarly, the Nasdaq returned to record territory, securing its second consecutive all-time high finish last week.

The upcoming week promises a series of significant events that could impact the ongoing market rally. Powell is scheduled for a two-day congressional testimony on Capitol Hill, coinciding with the release of the nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.

In the quest for an eighth-straight week of all-time highs for the S&P 500, investors eagerly await Powell's comments on rate cuts during his congressional testimony. Chris Larkin, managing director for trading and investing at E-Trade from Morgan Stanley, emphasized the importance of encouraging words from Powell and the avoidance of major surprises from the upcoming jobs data.

Larkin noted, "The Fed has said it doesn’t need to see a significantly weaker labor market to cut rates, but if the numbers come in too hot, it could renew concerns about delays, at least temporarily."

Bank of America joined other Wall Street firms in raising its price target, envisioning a year-end level of 5,400 for the S&P 500. However, the increase was accompanied by a cautionary note, suggesting a high likelihood of a near-term pullback.

Beyond the surge in U.S. stocks, other markets also experienced notable movements. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) surpassed $65,000, marking a substantial increase. The Nikkei 225 (JP:NIK) soared past 40,000, reflecting strong performance in the Japanese market. Meanwhile, gold (GC00) saw a slight decline after reaching a record high on Friday. The dynamics across various markets add layers of complexity to the overall financial landscape, contributing to the ongoing volatility and attention from investors worldwide.

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Bryan Curtis
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