Tuesday marked a historic day for 10% of the S&P 500, with 51 stocks in the benchmark equity index achieving record finishes—an occurrence not seen since April 20, 2022, as reported by Dow Jones Market Data.
Among the notable stocks that closed at record highs on Tuesday were Allstate Corp, Costco Wholesale, D.R. Horton, Inc., Mastercard, T-Mobile US Inc., Visa Inc., and Waste Management Inc., among others. This surge in record-setting performances reflects the ongoing year-end rally in equities, propelled by declining benchmark yields that play a crucial role in financing much of the U.S. economy, coupled with anticipations of upcoming interest-rate cuts.
The 10-year Treasury rate experienced a dip to 4.2% on Tuesday from its peak of about 5% in October. In tandem with this, the Dow Jones Industrial Average concluded Tuesday at its third-highest level on record. Simultaneously, both the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite Index added to their string of new closing highs for 2023. The Dow finished a mere 0.6% away from its record close achieved almost two years ago, while the S&P 500 stood just 3.2% below its close from the same period, based on data from Dow Jones Market Data.
This upward trajectory for stocks followed the release of November's inflation data, which indicated a continued easing of price pressures from peak levels, although still remaining above the Federal Reserve's 2% annual target.
The consumer-price index revealed an annual inflation rate of 3.1%, a slight decrease from October's 3.2%. However, attention is now turning to Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision. While short-term interest rates are anticipated to remain unchanged at a 22-year high, the central bank is expected to update its "dot plot" forecast, providing insights into rate expectations over a more extended time horizon.
Emin Hajiyev, a senior economist at Insight Investment, emphasized that despite the market's focus on the timing of potential rate cuts, Federal Reserve Chair Powell is likely to strike cautious notes. This approach aims to prevent financial conditions from easing too much further, ensuring that the Fed continues to witness encouraging progress on the inflation front.
As the market navigates these dynamics, investors are keenly monitoring the central bank's decisions and guidance for clues on the future direction of interest rates and overall economic conditions.
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