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The Impact of Nvidia Earnings on Many Other Tech Stocks

November 25, 2024
minute read

Nvidia’s third-quarter earnings report, while generally positive, has prompted investors to shift their focus to the company’s outlook for the fourth quarter. Despite solid performance, concerns over slower revenue growth are fueling questions about the trajectory of the AI computing leader and its broader ecosystem.

Fourth-Quarter Revenue Guidance Sparks Concerns

In its earnings review, Nvidia projected fourth-quarter revenue of $37.5 billion, signaling a 6.8% sequential growth rate. While still representing an increase, this pace falls short of expectations, as the company’s quarter-over-quarter revenue gains have consistently been around $4 billion over the past five quarters. The forecasted growth of $2.4 billion for the fourth quarter reflects a deceleration, which some investors found disappointing.

Product Momentum Remains Strong

Despite this moderated growth outlook, Nvidia continues to demonstrate robust momentum with its product offerings. The company is advancing its new H200 GPU accelerator, which has already gained traction with major cloud providers, including Microsoft Azure. Microsoft has showcased impressive performance results and is increasing adoption of the H200.

In addition, Nvidia’s next-generation Blackwell architecture is progressing well. Dell Technologies recently unveiled systems based on the GB200 platform, signaling strong interest from infrastructure providers.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang noted that demand for Blackwell products is expected to outstrip supply for several quarters, underscoring sustained market appetite for Nvidia’s AI computing solutions. Importantly, there have been no reported delays or technical issues in the rollout of these products, dismissing rumors about overheating problems as exaggerated.

Broader Implications for the AI Ecosystem

Nvidia’s performance offers key insights into the state of the AI computing industry, particularly as competition intensifies.

  • Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): As the second-largest AI GPU provider, AMD is positioned to benefit from customers seeking to diversify their supply chains. Its upcoming MI300 and MI325 GPUs could gain traction as Nvidia’s dominance creates opportunities for rivals. Moreover, any delays in Nvidia’s Blackwell rollout would provide AMD with more time to improve its performance and software capabilities.
  • Intel: While Intel’s Gaudi 3 AI accelerators remain a distant third in the market, the company faces significant challenges in gaining traction. With growth in AI infrastructure potentially moderating, Intel may struggle to establish itself as a viable alternative to Nvidia and AMD, especially if the demand for a third competitor diminishes.

Ecosystem Partnerships and Industry Dynamics

Nvidia’s partners are playing a critical role in the deployment of its technology. Dell Technologies is solidifying its position as a leading infrastructure provider, becoming the first to showcase a GB200-based rack on social media. This positions Dell ahead of competitors like Super Micro Computer, which is currently addressing accounting issues.

Microsoft Azure continues to demonstrate leadership in cloud computing, publishing early benchmark results for the H200 and preparing for Blackwell adoption. On the other hand, smaller providers like CoreWeave face risks if delays arise in Blackwell’s integration, as their business models depend on rapid deployment and first-mover advantages.

Ripple Effects on the Technology Supply Chain

The expansion of AI infrastructure is creating ripple effects across the technology supply chain. Companies specializing in components such as storage, cooling solutions, and data center technologies are experiencing increased demand as AI computing needs grow.

Organizations like Pure Storage, Micron Technology, and Vast Data are benefitting from this trend, riding on the coattails of Nvidia’s success and the broader AI boom. However, the question remains whether this growth represents a temporary plateau or signals the beginning of a more sustainable, long-term phase.

Challenges and Future Outlook

While Nvidia’s results highlight the continued adoption of AI technologies, the tempered growth rate suggests a shift from the rapid initial buildout of AI infrastructure to a steadier expansion. For Nvidia and the broader AI ecosystem, the coming quarters will be critical in determining whether momentum can be maintained.

Key factors to monitor include:

  • Nvidia’s execution of its Blackwell architecture rollout and its ability to meet demand.
  • Competitive developments from AMD and Intel as they seek to challenge Nvidia’s dominance.
  • The impact of moderating growth in AI infrastructure on related technology providers.

Conclusion

Nvidia remains a leader in the AI computing space, with strong product momentum and a robust ecosystem of partners. However, slower revenue growth and intensifying competition signal a maturing market. The company’s ability to execute its product roadmap and address evolving customer needs will be pivotal in maintaining its leadership as the AI industry transitions into its next phase.

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Bryan Curtis
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Eric Ng
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John Liu
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Editorial Board
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Bryan Curtis
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Adan Harris
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Cathy Hills
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