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European Markets Rise as UK Inflation Rate Declines for Second Month

European stock markets ended the day with a slight increase on Wednesday, as investors remained uncertain about the economic situation.

January 18, 2023
6 minutes
minute read

European stock markets ended the day with a slight increase on Wednesday, as investors remained uncertain about the economic situation. This topic is being discussed at the World Economic Forum in Davos this week.

The Stoxx 600 index, which covers Europe, ended the day with a 0.2% increase. Basic resources stocks saw the biggest rise, climbing 2.3%, while food and beverage stocks experienced a 1.4% decrease.

At the summit on Wednesday, CNBC had the opportunity to speak with a variety of delegates, including the heads of Unicredit, Infosys, Nokia, Aramco, and Credit Suisse, as well as the finance ministers of Greece and Poland and Saudi Arabia's foreign minister. Keep up with our coverage here.

In December, the annual rate of inflation in the U.K. dropped to 10.5%, which was slightly lower than what analysts had predicted. This was the second consecutive month of decreases, as the rate had gone from a 41-year peak of 10.7% in November.

U.S. stocks on Wall Street experienced a downturn, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping more than 300 points, and the Nasdaq and S&P 500 also in the red.

At the end of the day, stocks in the Asia-Pacific region generally ended on an upswing despite the Bank of Japan's decision to keep its yield curve control policy unchanged.

José Viñals, Chairman of Standard Chartered, has warned that the U.K. will face difficulties in the coming year due to both short-term and long-term factors, such as a potential recession. He suggested that the government should remain disciplined in its fiscal policies, build confidence in the private sector, and work to improve its relationship with the European Union.

He also talked about his macroeconomic outlook for the upcoming year, why he believes China will exceed expectations, and the rumors that the bank is a potential acquisition target, which he said he had "seen in the news".

In December, the cost of wholesale goods and services in the United States experienced a significant decrease, indicating a decrease in inflation.

According to the Labor Department, the producer price index (PPI) experienced a 0.5% decrease from the previous month, which was much steeper than the 0.1% decrease that economists in a Dow Jones survey had predicted.

On Wednesday, shares of Just Eat Takeaway experienced a 10% increase in the mid-afternoon after the Dutch food delivery company revealed their second-half earnings and declared that they would be focusing on profitability rather than growth in the future.

ASMI, a semiconductor company based in the same country, saw a rise of more than 10% after surpassing fourth-quarter earnings expectations due to improved supply chain conditions.

At the lowest point of the Stoxx 600, the Swedish private equity firm EQT experienced a 7% decrease in their stock following the release of their annual earnings report.

Ulrich Körner, the Chief Executive Officer of Credit Suisse, has shared his thoughts on what he believes the outlook for interest rates, inflation, and growth in China will be in the year 2023.

Recent evidence indicates that the euro zone may be able to dodge a recession, as suggested by Andrea Orcel, the CEO of Italian bank UniCredit.

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Orcel told CNBC that their initial outlook for this year was a mild recession, but now, based on all the indicators they have seen, there is a risk of no recession at all.

On Wednesday, shares of Just Eat Takeaway experienced a 15% surge in the early trading session following the release of the Dutch food delivery company's second-half earnings. The company also declared that it would be focusing on profitability rather than growth in the future.

Shares of ASMI, a semiconductor company based in the same country, rose by more than 8% after surpassing fourth-quarter earnings forecasts due to improved supply chain conditions.

In December, the annual rate of inflation in the U.K. decreased to 10.5%, which was slightly lower than what analysts had predicted.

October marked the second month of the fall season, following a decrease in the unemployment rate from a 41-year high of 10.7% in November.

According to the Office for National Statistics in the U.K., the most significant factor in the change was a decrease in the cost of transport (especially motor fuels), clothing and footwear, and recreation and culture. This was partially offset by an increase in the prices of restaurants and hotels, as well as food and non-alcoholic beverages.

As electric cars become more and more sought after, a new production method that could make them more cost-effective is gaining attention, as reported by Morgan Stanley.

According to a Wall Street bank, some car manufacturers are outsourcing their production process, which could be advantageous for three major Asian parts suppliers.

The price of oil is being bolstered by the expectation that China will be reopening soon, which will lead to an increase in fuel consumption. Additionally, OPEC has predicted that Chinese oil demand is likely to rebound.

Brent crude futures saw an increase of 0.85%, bringing the price to $86.65 per barrel. Meanwhile, U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose 0.91%, settling at $80.91 a barrel.

According to OPEC's monthly oil report, Chinese oil demand is expected to increase as the nation has recently eased its zero-Covid restrictions.

The report also noted that China's oil demand in the first quarter of 2022 is expected to increase from a year-on-year decrease of 0.3 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter of 2022 to an annualized growth of 0.2 million barrels per day.

Since the beginning of the year, the Nasdaq, which is heavily weighted with tech stocks, has been the leader of the three major Wall Street indexes, increasing by more than 6%. Investors have been returning to tech stocks as a result.

Bank of America predicts that a recession is unlikely to begin until later in 2023 due to the higher than anticipated consumer spending and the Federal Reserve's decision to reduce the intensity of its interest rate increases.

The firm noted in a client note that they have delayed their prediction of a mild recession in the US economy by a quarter due to the strength of consumer spending, which is supported by a healthy job market, increased savings, lower energy costs, and improved financial conditions. However, they believe that the challenges ahead will cause consumers to reduce their spending and increase their savings rate as the year progresses.

The recession has been pushed into the second quarter due to a decrease in investments that has had a negative effect on consumer spending.

In 2022, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark borrowing rate by 4.25 percentage points. It is anticipated that the Fed will then reduce the rate, beginning with a 0.25 percentage point increase in February. This is likely to be followed by additional quarter-point increases in March and May.

The firm predicted that rate reductions will not occur until 2024.

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